Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2941 at 08:06, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2941 Southwest	ABQ 08:06	BNA 11:47	6%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ABQ 11:20 → ATL 16:30DL 1004	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002	8h 18m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535	1h 28m Minneapolis	MSP 13:32 → BNA 15:39DL 8949	6h 09m	97%	87%
United Details →	ABQ 05:38 → DEN 07:17UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest	2h 27m Denver	DEN 09:44 → BNA 13:27UA 355	6h 49m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 14:26 → BNA 14:39DL 790	6h 39m	99%	86%
United Details →	ABQ 16:20 → DEN 17:50UA 725	2h 38m Denver	DEN 20:28 → BNA 00:08 +1UA 1287	6h 48m	98%	83%
United Details →	ABQ 12:13 → IAH 15:30UA 6151 · flown by Mesa	2h 28m Houston	IAH 17:58 → BNA 20:22UA 4785 · flown by SkyWest	7h 09m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	ABQ 16:36 → ATL 22:00DL 1109	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	5h 39m	91%	82%
United Details →	ABQ 13:33 → DEN 15:03UA 1741	2h 27m Denver	DEN 17:30 → BNA 21:13UA 1300	6h 40m	98%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON