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Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 07:55, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Burbank on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest 1h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 4h 59m 97% 91%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:38 → DEN 07:17UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 3h 58m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 8h 10m 100% 85%
AlaskaDetails → ABQ 11:34 → PDX 13:35AS 2269 · flown by Horizon 1h 20m Portland PDX 14:55 → BUR 17:13AS 1386 6h 39m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 18:09 → SLC 19:57DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 53m Salt Lake City SLC 20:50 → BUR 21:48DL 339 4h 39m 94% 81%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:34 → DFW 08:25AA 1231 2h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:26 → BUR 11:54AA 1208 7h 20m 96% 79%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 14:26 → DFW 17:23AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 3h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597 8h 32m 99% 72%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 16:20 → DEN 17:50UA 725 1h 23m Denver DEN 19:13 → BUR 20:43UA 2411 5h 23m 89% 70%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON