tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 823 Southwest ABQ 06:53 SAN 07:51 6% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 1855 Southwest ABQ 17:57 SAN 18:56 15% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ABQ 11:20 → ATL 16:30DL 1004 1h 30m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → SAN 19:41DL 712 9h 21m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest 1h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 5h 13m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:38 → DEN 07:17UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 3h 58m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 8h 03m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 06:00 → LAX 07:09DL 4115 · flown by SkyWest 1h 41m Los Angeles LAX 08:50 → SAN 09:52DL 3716 · flown by SkyWest 4h 52m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:34 → DFW 08:25AA 1231 2h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:58 → SAN 12:15AA 3109 7h 41m 97% 79%
AlaskaDetails → ABQ 11:34 → PDX 13:35AS 2269 · flown by Horizon 4h 00m Portland PDX 17:35 → SAN 20:02AS 667 9h 28m 100% 79%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 11:49 → PHX 12:12AA 1352 2h 00m Phoenix PHX 14:12 → SAN 15:36AA 1951 4h 47m 94% 78%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 12:19 → DFW 15:13AA 3586 · flown by Envoy 1h 51m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:04 → SAN 18:25AA 2266 7h 06m 98% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON