Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AS 582 Alaska	ABQ 06:10	SEA 08:09	11%	2%	0.6%	no record
AS 330 Alaska Flight history →	ABQ 14:43	SEA 16:55	14%	3%	0.6%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535	3h 11m Minneapolis	MSP 15:15 → SEA 17:00DL 877	9h 30m	98%	90%
United Details →	ABQ 05:38 → DEN 07:17UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest	2h 34m Denver	DEN 09:51 → SEA 11:51UA 1253	7h 13m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest	1h 51m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:35 → SEA 12:49DL 2995	5h 54m	99%	84%
American Details →	ABQ 11:49 → PHX 12:12AA 1352	2h 05m Phoenix	PHX 14:17 → SEA 17:27AA 3934 · flown by Envoy	6h 38m	94%	84%
Delta Details →	ABQ 11:20 → ATL 16:30DL 1004	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SEA 20:11DL 714	9h 51m	98%	83%
United Details →	ABQ 07:00 → DEN 08:23UA 621	3h 04m Denver	DEN 11:27 → SEA 13:27UA 2058	7h 27m	99%	83%
United Details →	ABQ 16:20 → DEN 17:50UA 725	3h 20m Denver	DEN 21:10 → SEA 23:10UA 2651	7h 50m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	ABQ 06:00 → LAX 07:09DL 4115 · flown by SkyWest	2h 26m Los Angeles	LAX 09:35 → SEA 12:20DL 304	7h 20m	99%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON