tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1427 United ABQ 15:53 SFO 17:25 13% 5% 0.6% no record
OO 5840 SkyWest ABQ 09:21 SFO 11:24 19% 7% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Francisco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ABQ 19:59 → SLC 21:46DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 1h 04m Salt Lake City SLC 22:50 → SFO 23:52DL 1091 4h 53m 97% 85%
AlaskaDetails → ABQ 11:34 → PDX 13:35AS 2269 · flown by Horizon 1h 14m Portland PDX 14:49 → SFO 16:40AS 236 6h 06m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 07:00 → DEN 08:23UA 621 2h 58m Denver DEN 11:21 → SFO 13:04UA 1561 7h 04m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 12:13 → IAH 15:30UA 6151 · flown by Mesa 1h 49m Houston IAH 17:19 → SFO 19:32UA 1134 8h 19m 97% 82%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 16:20 → DEN 17:50UA 725 3h 20m Denver DEN 21:10 → SFO 22:56UA 2123 7h 36m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest 1h 16m Salt Lake City SLC 11:00 → SFO 12:03DL 902 5h 08m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:38 → DEN 07:17UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 2h 26m Denver DEN 09:43 → SFO 11:25UA 1506 6h 47m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 13:33 → DEN 15:03UA 1741 2h 51m Denver DEN 17:54 → SFO 19:40UA 1007 7h 07m 99% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON