Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 657 at 13:29, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 657 Southwest	ALB 13:29	BNA 14:45	7%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867	6h 30m	99%	93%
American Details →	ALB 07:07 → ORD 08:37AA 3400 · flown by Envoy	2h 48m Chicago	ORD 11:25 → BNA 13:07AA 2362	7h 00m	100%	91%
United Details →	ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225	2h 50m Chicago	ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414	7h 19m	99%	90%
American Details →	ALB 06:55 → CLT 08:58AA 440	1h 44m Charlotte	CLT 10:42 → BNA 11:14AA 1295	5h 19m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	ALB 16:57 → DTW 18:40DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	2h 55m Detroit	DTW 21:35 → BNA 22:15DL 2126	6h 18m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	ALB 09:35 → DTW 11:18DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest	1h 07m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557	4h 28m	95%	88%
American Details →	ALB 08:00 → PHL 09:21AA 5901 · flown by Piedmont	4h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 13:21 → BNA 14:31AA 804	7h 31m	96%	86%
American Details →	ALB 10:49 → PHL 12:09AA 6026 · flown by Piedmont	3h 30m Philadelphia	PHL 15:39 → BNA 16:49AA 1280	7h 00m	97%	85%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996	49m Detroit	DTW 08:30 → BNA 09:11DL 2682	4h 06m	72%	67%
United Details →	ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 13m Dulles	IAD 17:42 → BNA 18:47UA 2264	4h 57m	74%	64%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON