tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 59% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2750 United Flight history → ALB 08:00 DEN 10:11 10% 2% 0.6% 84%
WN 1151 Southwest ALB 16:18 DEN 18:16 11% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 38m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 8h 05m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 22m Chicago ORD 11:09 → DEN 12:53UA 2857 8h 43m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:18DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 24m Detroit DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648 6h 11m 96% 89%
AmericanDetails → ALB 07:07 → ORD 08:37AA 3400 · flown by Envoy 3h 26m Chicago ORD 12:03 → DEN 13:58AA 1277 8h 51m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 59m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 42m 94% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 16:56 → DTW 18:40DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 2h 56m Detroit DTW 21:36 → DEN 22:44DL 1644 7h 48m 97% 88%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 1h 45m Philadelphia PHL 09:25 → DEN 11:32AA 1313 7h 11m 96% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 12m Dulles IAD 17:41 → DEN 19:45UA 599 6h 55m 73% 60%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → LGA 13:29DL 5238 · flown by Endeavor 51m New York LGA 14:20 → DEN 16:41DL 716 6h 14m 59% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON