tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: American via National, leaving 05:10, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:10 → DCA 06:49AA 5433 · flown by PSA 3h 18m Washington DCA 10:07 → DFW 12:29AA 795 8h 19m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961 6h 12m 97% 90%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 2h 42m Chicago ORD 10:29 → DFW 13:12UA 441 8h 02m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:55 → CLT 08:58AA 440 2h 04m Charlotte CLT 11:02 → DFW 12:47AA 2747 6h 52m 98% 89%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 3h 10m Philadelphia PHL 10:50 → DFW 13:27AA 3326 8h 06m 97% 89%
AmericanDetails → ALB 07:07 → ORD 08:37AA 3400 · flown by Envoy 3h 38m Chicago ORD 12:15 → DFW 14:46AA 3085 8h 39m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:18DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 27m Detroit DTW 12:45 → DFW 14:32DL 1041 5h 58m 96% 87%
AmericanDetails → ALB 10:49 → PHL 12:09AA 6026 · flown by Piedmont 2h 51m Philadelphia PHL 15:00 → DFW 17:50AA 402 8h 01m 97% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON