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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 73% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 23m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:55 → CLT 08:58AA 440 1h 57m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:09AA 2585 6h 14m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 1h 31m Philadelphia PHL 09:11 → FLL 12:18AA 1333 5h 57m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 12m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 9h 03m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:10 → DCA 06:50AA 5433 · flown by PSA 1h 15m Washington DCA 08:05 → FLL 11:00AA 1893 5h 50m 93% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:18DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 12m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 6h 00m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → ALB 16:56 → DTW 18:40DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 2h 04m Detroit DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296 6h 46m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → ATL 15:00DL 1137 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 6h 13m 98% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 46m Dulles IAD 08:21 → FLL 11:12UA 1825 5h 12m 73% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON