tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5454 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → ALB 05:59 LGA 07:02 5% 2% 0.7% 94%
DL 5268 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → ALB 12:30 LGA 13:29 10% 3% 0.7% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 1h 11m Detroit DTW 08:52 → LGA 10:42DL 1791 4h 37m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 6h 42m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 16:56 → DTW 18:40DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 3h 10m Detroit DTW 21:50 → LGA 23:40DL 2603 6h 44m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 2h 16m Chicago ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669 7h 16m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → ATL 15:00DL 1137 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434 8h 00m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:18DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 2h 44m Detroit DTW 14:02 → LGA 15:53DL 2602 6h 19m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 13:13 → DTW 14:57DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 3h 02m Detroit DTW 17:59 → LGA 19:50DL 2604 6h 37m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → ALB 07:07 → ORD 08:37AA 3400 · flown by Envoy 3h 18m Chicago ORD 11:55 → LGA 15:09AA 903 8h 02m 100% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON