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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1264 Southwest ALB 09:04 MCO 11:55 8% 2% 1.8% no record
B6 2920 JetBlue Flight history → ALB 08:41 MCO 11:47 11% 3% 1.6% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 1h 04m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MCO 11:23DL 1455 5h 18m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 00m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 13m Chicago ORD 11:00 → MCO 15:03UA 2008 8h 53m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:10 → DCA 06:50AA 5433 · flown by PSA 1h 34m Washington DCA 08:24 → MCO 11:02AA 2128 5h 52m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:34 → DTW 11:18DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 05m Detroit DTW 12:23 → MCO 15:01DL 1123 5h 27m 95% 82%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:55 → CLT 08:58AA 440 1h 56m Charlotte CLT 10:54 → MCO 12:47AA 1576 5h 52m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → ATL 15:00DL 1137 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035 7h 21m 100% 82%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 10m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 08m 90% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 10:00 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 58m Dulles IAD 12:35 → MCO 14:58UA 2206 4h 58m 73% 60%
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 53m Dulles IAD 17:22 → MCO 19:45UA 2463 4h 55m 54% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON