Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via LaGuardia, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Bangor on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 404	1h 32m New York	LGA 09:42 → BGR 11:11DL 5254 · flown by Endeavor	5h 11m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:42 → JFK 10:00DL 2420	3h 41m New York	JFK 13:41 → BGR 15:17DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor	7h 35m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:30 → LGA 10:41DL 513	3h 58m New York	LGA 14:39 → BGR 16:08DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor	7h 38m	100%	89%
American Details →	ATL 08:10 → CLT 09:27AA 5063 · flown by PSA	1h 14m Charlotte	CLT 10:41 → BGR 13:20AA 1874	5h 10m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	ATL 17:00 → LGA 19:20DL 997	2h 49m New York	LGA 22:09 → BGR 23:38DL 5396 · flown by Endeavor	6h 38m	97%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON