Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2626 at 20:56, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2626 Delta Flight history →	ATL 20:56	CID 22:03	12%	2%	0.6%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	3h 22m Minneapolis	MSP 14:52 → CID 16:04DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	7h 09m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	1h 35m Minneapolis	MSP 10:35 → CID 11:47DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	5h 22m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	ATL 18:37 → MSP 20:22DL 2654	1h 50m Minneapolis	MSP 22:12 → CID 23:24DL 5290 · flown by Endeavor	5h 47m	96%	89%
American Details →	ATL 16:19 → DFW 17:49AA 1008	3h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:01 → CID 23:11AA 4235 · flown by Envoy	7h 52m	100%	87%
American Details →	ATL 11:02 → DFW 12:26AA 820	3h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:07 → CID 18:21AA 4318 · flown by Envoy	8h 19m	99%	86%
United Details →	ATL 08:47 → DEN 10:15UA 340	3h 40m Denver	DEN 13:55 → CID 17:01UA 5677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 14m	100%	84%
American Details →	ATL 15:05 → DFW 16:34AA 3104	1h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:29 → CID 20:38AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	6h 33m	97%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON