Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 315 at 18:10, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 315 Delta Flight history →	ATL 18:10	JAC 20:04	15%	3%	0.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	2h 39m Salt Lake City	SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest	7h 42m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	3h 35m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:45 → JAC 16:52DL 509	8h 42m	100%	88%
United Details →	ATL 08:46 → DEN 10:14UA 340	3h 41m Denver	DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537	8h 39m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	56m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282	6h 00m	94%	86%
United Details →	ATL 11:10 → DEN 12:27UA 1327	3h 53m Denver	DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200	8h 43m	99%	82%
American Details →	ATL 08:22 → DFW 09:55AA 1567	3h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883	8h 37m	99%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON