tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2654 Southwest AUS 08:36 ABQ 09:32 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 2122 Southwest AUS 19:10 ABQ 20:04 11% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Austin). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → AUS 06:00 → LAS 06:57WN 322 57m Las Vegas LAS 07:54 → ABQ 10:25WN 2109 5h 25m 97% 93%
DeltaDetails → AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671 3h 16m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 7h 52m 98% 93%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361 1h 10m Denver DEN 08:08 → ABQ 09:33UA 1733 4h 54m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563 2h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:00 → ABQ 09:59AA 3535 · flown by Envoy 5h 58m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → AUS 08:15 → ATL 11:26DL 2899 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 14:23 → ABQ 15:31DL 1109 8h 16m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → AUS 06:00 → DFW 07:19AA 579 3h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:55 → ABQ 11:56AA 3586 · flown by Envoy 6h 56m 99% 90%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 16:34 → HOU 17:33WN 310 3h 11m Houston HOU 20:44 → ABQ 21:58WN 893 6h 24m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → AUS 08:30 → DEN 09:49UA 595 3h 44m Denver DEN 13:33 → ABQ 14:59UA 1594 7h 29m 100% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON