tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2418 at 18:34, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2418 Southwest AUS 18:34 BUR 19:46 16% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Austin). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → AUS 06:00 → LAS 06:57WN 322 2h 20m Las Vegas LAS 09:17 → BUR 10:28WN 281 6h 28m 100% 94%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 08:31 → LAS 09:28WN 323 2h 21m Las Vegas LAS 11:49 → BUR 13:00WN 2133 6h 29m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 15:15 → LAS 16:11WN 329 2h 45m Las Vegas LAS 18:56 → BUR 20:08WN 2136 6h 53m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → AUS 08:30 → DEN 09:49UA 595 1h 26m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 6h 18m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → AUS 06:25 → ATL 09:45DL 1258 1h 34m Atlanta ATL 11:19 → BUR 12:55DL 483 8h 30m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → AUS 13:31 → SFO 15:33UA 1336 3h 05m San Francisco SFO 18:38 → BUR 20:00UA 2001 8h 29m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → AUS 06:00 → DFW 07:19AA 579 3h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:26 → BUR 11:54AA 1208 7h 54m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:56 → SFO 07:40UA 2177 53m San Francisco SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363 6h 01m 95% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON