Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2208 at 14:04, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2208 Southwest	AUS 14:04	OKC 15:27	12%	4%	0.4%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	AUS 16:34 → HOU 17:33WN 310	3h 31m Houston	HOU 21:04 → OKC 22:32WN 3830	5h 58m	100%	90%
United Details →	AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361	1h 02m Denver	DEN 08:00 → OKC 10:49UA 6029 · flown by SkyWest	5h 10m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344	2h 17m Atlanta	ATL 11:04 → OKC 12:11DL 2020	6h 46m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	AUS 16:55 → ATL 20:29DL 1397	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423	6h 57m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	AUS 13:31 → ATL 17:00DL 2011	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784	6h 44m	98%	86%
American Details →	AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563	2h 50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:02 → OKC 10:15AA 1902	5h 14m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976	1h 21m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	5h 47m	99%	86%
United Details →	AUS 05:30 → IAH 06:33UA 1966	53m Houston	IAH 07:26 → OKC 09:07UA 6145 · flown by Mesa	3h 37m	95%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON