tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 05:39, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Tulsa on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361 3h 06m Denver DEN 10:04 → TUL 12:59UA 5315 · flown by SkyWest 7h 20m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → TUL 11:56DL 2620 6h 31m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976 1h 50m Atlanta ATL 15:44 → TUL 16:52DL 2837 6h 17m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → AUS 06:21 → CLT 10:10AA 1032 1h 14m Charlotte CLT 11:24 → TUL 12:49AA 2657 6h 28m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → AUS 16:55 → ATL 20:29DL 1397 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → TUL 23:56DL 2043 7h 01m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563 2h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:39 → TUL 09:58AA 2348 4h 57m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → AUS 09:35 → IAH 10:45UA 2196 3h 44m Houston IAH 14:29 → TUL 16:10UA 6176 · flown by Mesa 6h 35m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → AUS 06:00 → DFW 07:19AA 579 3h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:50 → TUL 12:07AA 2352 6h 07m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON