Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 3269 American	AVL 07:59	DFW 09:42	16%	6%	1.9%	no record
AA 569 American Flight history →	AVL 19:50	DFW 21:27	18%	8%	1.2%	64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Asheville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	AVL 05:35 → ATL 06:34DL 2712	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 37m	98%	90%
United Details →	AVL 10:47 → ORD 11:51UA 4652 · flown by SkyWest	3h 49m Chicago	ORD 15:40 → DFW 18:22UA 793	8h 35m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	AVL 15:39 → ATL 16:48DL 3099	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 20:13 → DFW 21:35DL 3161	6h 56m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	AVL 12:37 → ATL 13:45DL 3077	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 17:43 → DFW 19:03DL 1827	7h 26m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	AVL 07:53 → ATL 08:57DL 2853	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 11:28 → DFW 12:44DL 414	5h 51m	94%	84%
American Details →	AVL 11:35 → ORD 12:39AA 3963 · flown by Envoy	3h 19m Chicago	ORD 15:58 → DFW 18:22AA 2531	7h 47m	100%	83%
American Details →	AVL 11:59 → DCA 13:37AA 5213 · flown by PSA	1h 36m Washington	DCA 15:13 → DFW 17:44AA 1624	6h 45m	92%	81%
American Details →	AVL 13:35 → CLT 14:29AA 5899 · flown by Piedmont	3h 36m Charlotte	CLT 18:05 → DFW 19:51AA 2815	7h 16m	96%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON