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Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 117 nonstops

Wed, Oct 7: WN 2734 at 06:30 is the safest bet, 2% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 6–27%.

Safest bet that day WN 2734 OAK 06:30 → ONT 07:58 · 2% chance 15+ min late Riskiest OO 3055 SFO 12:00 → SNA 13:39 · 27% chance 15+ min late

Every nonstop on Wed, Oct 7

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
WN 2734 Southwest OAK 06:30 ONT 07:58 2% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 2958 Southwest OAK 06:37 BUR 07:57 2% 1% 1.2% no record
WN 3608 Southwest SJC 07:19 ONT 08:41 2% 1% 0.6% no record
UA 2127 United Flight history → SFO 06:00 LAX 07:39 3% 1% 0.6% 96%
WN 3016 Southwest OAK 07:01 SNA 08:31 3% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 2609 Southwest OAK 09:26 BUR 10:46 3% 1% 1.2% no record
WN 2753 Southwest SJC 07:57 BUR 09:12 4% 1% 1.3% no record
WN 1706 Southwest OAK 07:54 LGB 09:17 4% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 2388 Southwest SJC 06:57 LGB 08:17 4% 2% 0.6% no record
UA 1756 United Flight history → SFO 07:03 BUR 08:26 4% 2% 0.6% 97%
WN 346 Southwest SJC 07:24 SNA 08:47 4% 1% 0.7% no record
DL 1598 Delta Flight history → SFO 07:00 LAX 08:30 4% 1% 0.9% 94%
WN 1194 Southwest OAK 08:59 SNA 10:25 6% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 1782 Southwest OAK 07:36 LAX 08:57 6% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 554 Southwest OAK 12:19 ONT 13:48 6% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 2963 Southwest OAK 17:06 BUR 18:27 6% 3% 1.1% no record
WN 4521 Southwest SFO 08:33 BUR 09:53 6% 2% 5.0% no record
DL 1362 Delta SJC 06:58 LAX 08:19 6% 3% 1.2% no record
WN 2882 Southwest SJC 12:21 ONT 13:43 7% 2% 0.6% no record
DL 3842 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SJC 14:59 LAX 16:24 7% 4% 0.6% 92%
WN 2497 Southwest SJC 10:17 BUR 11:32 7% 1% 1.3% no record
WN 4302 Southwest OAK 18:32 LGB 20:00 7% 4% 0.6% no record
WN 2884 Southwest SJC 08:46 SNA 10:10 7% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 2835 Southwest OAK 14:37 ONT 16:05 7% 3% 0.5% no record
WN 1984 Southwest OAK 17:10 ONT 18:39 7% 3% 0.5% no record
WN 2959 Southwest OAK 11:46 BUR 13:06 7% 2% 1.1% no record
WN 4218 Southwest OAK 19:15 BUR 20:36 7% 3% 0.9% no record
WN 2834 Southwest OAK 11:23 LGB 12:50 7% 3% 0.6% no record
WN 2962 Southwest OAK 14:11 BUR 15:31 7% 3% 1.1% no record
DL 1380 Delta SJC 11:41 LAX 13:02 7% 4% 1.3% no record
WN 447 Southwest OAK 14:49 LGB 16:12 7% 4% 0.6% no record
UA 2363 United Flight history → SFO 08:33 BUR 09:57 7% 2% 0.6% 84%
AA 1097 American Flight history → SFO 07:07 LAX 08:47 7% 2% 0.6% 79%
DL 3883 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SJC 20:25 LAX 22:00 7% 5% 0.6% 92%
WN 1079 Southwest SFO 07:44 LAX 09:04 7% 1% 0.6% no record
DL 1421 Delta Flight history → SFO 09:20 LAX 10:53 8% 2% 0.9% 91%
WN 2396 Southwest SJC 15:03 BUR 16:18 8% 3% 1.1% no record
WN 2347 Southwest SJC 09:39 LAX 10:56 8% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 2612 Southwest OAK 10:16 LAX 11:38 8% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 192 Southwest OAK 20:34 ONT 21:59 8% 4% 0.5% no record
WN 4537 Southwest SJC 13:29 LAX 14:46 8% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 2756 Southwest SJC 12:02 BUR 13:17 8% 2% 1.2% no record
WN 2433 Southwest SJC 10:34 LGB 11:55 8% 4% 0.6% no record
UA 1260 United Flight history → SFO 07:01 LAX 08:38 8% 2% 0.6% 89%
WN 3020 Southwest OAK 16:28 SNA 17:59 8% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 1581 Southwest OAK 19:17 SNA 20:43 8% 2% 0.7% no record
WN 1662 Southwest SJC 17:49 BUR 19:05 9% 4% 0.9% no record
WN 2873 Southwest SJC 16:57 LGB 18:18 9% 5% 0.5% no record
WN 3017 Southwest OAK 11:22 SNA 12:52 9% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 3610 Southwest SJC 17:04 ONT 18:27 9% 4% 0.6% no record
AS 3440 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 07:04 SNA 08:43 9% 3% 1.2% 92%
WN 3603 Southwest SJC 14:56 LGB 16:16 9% 4% 0.5% no record
WN 1701 Southwest OAK 15:04 SNA 16:30 9% 2% 0.6% no record
UA 1457 United SFO 09:00 LAX 10:43 9% 3% 0.6% no record
DL 1359 Delta SJC 18:17 LAX 19:38 9% 5% 1.3% no record
OO 3849 SkyWest SJC 16:18 LAX 17:43 10% 5% 0.6% no record
OO 3847 SkyWest SJC 09:48 LAX 11:13 10% 4% 0.6% no record
WN 4293 Southwest OAK 14:08 LAX 15:32 10% 3% 0.6% no record
UA 589 United Flight history → SFO 19:10 SNA 20:55 10% 4% 0.6% 89%
WN 1765 Southwest SJC 14:51 SNA 16:15 10% 2% 0.7% no record
OO 5907 SkyWest SFO 08:56 ONT 10:44 11% 6% 0.9% no record
WN 3554 Southwest SFO 09:31 LAX 10:52 11% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 2888 Southwest SJC 17:59 SNA 19:23 11% 3% 0.7% no record
WN 3640 Southwest SJC 19:41 SNA 21:05 11% 2% 0.7% no record
WN 451 Southwest SJC 11:00 SNA 12:24 11% 2% 0.7% no record
OO 5405 SkyWest SFO 07:09 SNA 08:48 11% 3% 1.2% no record
WN 2362 Southwest OAK 16:29 LAX 17:51 12% 4% 0.6% no record
WN 1881 Southwest SJC 16:56 LAX 18:13 13% 4% 0.6% no record
UA 552 United Flight history → SFO 21:00 ONT 22:37 13% 4% 0.5% 83%
WN 800 Southwest OAK 19:12 LAX 20:34 13% 4% 0.6% no record
UA 2610 United Flight history → SFO 13:55 LAX 15:35 14% 4% 0.6% 78%
OO 6274 SkyWest SFO 09:22 LAX 10:52 14% 5% 0.8% no record
UA 2001 United SFO 18:38 BUR 20:00 14% 5% 0.6% no record
WN 3601 Southwest SJC 19:02 LAX 20:20 14% 4% 0.6% no record
AS 3465 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 20:47 SNA 22:26 14% 3% 1.2% 79%
UA 2478 United SFO 19:07 ONT 20:42 14% 5% 0.6% no record
F9 3308 Frontier Flight history → SFO 08:50 LAX 10:25 14% 4% 1.4% 70%
UA 1799 United SFO 18:33 LAX 19:58 14% 4% 0.6% no record
DL 1559 Delta Flight history → SFO 18:07 LAX 19:32 15% 5% 0.8% 67%
AA 1022 American SFO 13:20 LAX 14:49 16% 5% 0.6% no record
AS 3450 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 09:17 SNA 10:56 16% 5% 1.0% 79%
UA 1506 United Flight history → SFO 12:15 LAX 13:55 16% 5% 0.6% 71%
UA 2441 United Flight history → SFO 12:27 SNA 14:12 16% 6% 0.6% 89%
UA 1079 United SFO 21:28 LAX 22:53 16% 5% 0.6% no record
AS 1329 Alaska Flight history → SFO 08:30 LAX 10:07 16% 2% 0.8% 64%
UA 626 United Flight history → SFO 13:50 BUR 15:17 16% 6% 0.6% 69%
UA 2764 United Flight history → SFO 16:15 BUR 17:42 17% 6% 0.6% 56%
WN 3546 Southwest SFO 17:05 BUR 18:25 17% 7% 3.5% no record
UA 2409 United Flight history → SFO 19:42 LAX 21:07 18% 5% 0.6% 68%
DL 2114 Delta SFO 16:57 LAX 18:22 18% 5% 0.8% no record
OO 5932 SkyWest SFO 13:55 ONT 15:43 18% 9% 0.8% no record
WN 1045 Southwest SFO 11:34 BUR 12:54 18% 5% 5.0% no record
UA 1164 United Flight history → SFO 10:34 LAX 12:07 18% 5% 0.6% 75%
UA 8154 United SFO 16:19 LAX 17:54 19% 5% 0.6% no record
OO 6277 SkyWest SFO 11:47 LAX 13:17 19% 7% 0.8% no record
DL 2112 Delta SFO 12:07 LAX 13:32 19% 5% 0.9% no record
UA 643 United Flight history → SFO 10:23 SNA 12:06 19% 6% 0.6% 82%
UA 2282 United SFO 17:35 LAX 18:58 19% 5% 0.6% no record
UA 2115 United Flight history → SFO 10:25 BUR 11:51 19% 5% 0.6% 81%
AS 3494 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 15:48 SNA 17:26 19% 4% 1.1% 85%
DL 689 Delta SFO 14:27 LAX 15:50 20% 4% 0.8% no record
UA 5440 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 13:39 SNA 15:31 20% 6% 0.8% 80%
AS 3492 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 16:25 SNA 18:04 21% 6% 1.1% 71%
OO 249 SkyWest SFO 10:16 LAX 11:46 21% 7% 0.8% no record
OO 5597 SkyWest SFO 16:44 SNA 18:23 21% 6% 1.1% no record
AA 6428 American flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 10:09 LAX 11:49 22% 8% 0.8% 59%
OO 3385 SkyWest SFO 12:22 LAX 13:52 22% 7% 0.8% no record
OO 6276 SkyWest SFO 16:08 LAX 17:38 22% 6% 0.7% no record
WN 2750 Southwest SFO 20:12 LAX 21:34 23% 7% 0.5% no record
WN 699 Southwest SFO 12:09 LAX 13:30 23% 4% 0.6% no record
AS 3216 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 13:48 SNA 15:27 23% 6% 0.9% 74%
WN 4529 Southwest SFO 15:47 LAX 17:08 24% 5% 0.6% no record
AS 1407 Alaska SFO 17:31 LAX 18:52 25% 5% 0.7% no record
AS 520 Alaska SFO 15:36 LAX 16:59 26% 4% 0.7% no record
AS 584 Alaska SFO 18:53 LAX 20:14 27% 4% 0.6% no record
AS 200 Alaska SFO 10:04 LAX 11:27 27% 4% 0.7% no record
OO 3055 SkyWest SFO 12:00 SNA 13:39 27% 6% 1.0% no record
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON