Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 1397 at 16:49, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1397 Southwest	BDL 16:49	BNA 18:09	8%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Hartford). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933	2h 54m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867	6h 30m	100%	94%
United Details →	BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635	1h 04m Dulles	IAD 08:30 → BNA 09:29UA 1366	4h 29m	98%	92%
Delta Details →	BDL 07:35 → MSP 09:29DL 1330	3h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 12:50 → BNA 14:52DL 2843	8h 17m	100%	92%
American Details →	BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182	2h 34m Charlotte	CLT 10:42 → BNA 11:14AA 1295	6h 13m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159	6h 58m	100%	91%
United Details →	BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672	2h 43m Chicago	ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414	7h 20m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964	1h 05m Detroit	DTW 08:30 → BNA 09:11DL 2682	4h 41m	97%	90%
American Details →	BDL 07:15 → ORD 09:05AA 2163	2h 20m Chicago	ORD 11:25 → BNA 13:07AA 2362	6h 52m	98%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON