Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Detroit, leaving 09:43, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Nonstops that day


AA 2729 American Flight history →	BDL 06:04	DFW 08:59	7%	2%	0.7%	86%
AA 1083 American	BDL 12:54	DFW 15:47	13%	4%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Hartford). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933	1h 25m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 12m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	BDL 07:00 → ATL 09:26DL 2554	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 11:28 → DFW 12:44DL 414	6h 44m	99%	90%
United Details →	BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672	2h 35m Chicago	ORD 10:29 → DFW 13:12UA 441	8h 03m	99%	90%
American Details →	BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182	2h 54m Charlotte	CLT 11:02 → DFW 12:46AA 2747	7h 45m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964	1h 10m Detroit	DTW 08:35 → DFW 10:24DL 2746	5h 54m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	BDL 18:00 → ATL 20:47DL 2739	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818	7h 13m	98%	88%
American Details →	BDL 09:34 → DCA 11:16AA 5307 · flown by PSA	3h 57m Washington	DCA 15:13 → DFW 17:44AA 1624	9h 10m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	BDL 13:50 → ATL 16:20DL 1082	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 20:13 → DFW 21:35DL 3161	8h 45m	99%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON