Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 21%, against 6% on a calm day. Safest: B6 737 at 10:06, 13%.

Nonstops that day


B6 737 JetBlue Flight history →	BDL 10:06	MCO 13:05	13%	3%	1.3%	86%
WN 371 Southwest	BDL 15:39	MCO 18:27	30%	5%	1.3%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664	6h 00m	99%	86%
United Details →	BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672	1h 18m Chicago	ORD 09:12 → MCO 13:13UA 1643	7h 04m	98%	86%
United Details →	BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635	1h 19m Dulles	IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379	5h 08m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964	1h 20m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → MCO 11:23DL 1455	5h 53m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	BDL 07:00 → ATL 09:26DL 2554	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030	6h 00m	99%	84%
American Details →	BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182	2h 46m Charlotte	CLT 10:54 → MCO 12:47AA 1576	6h 46m	99%	83%
American Details →	BDL 07:15 → ORD 09:05AA 2163	1h 29m Chicago	ORD 10:34 → MCO 14:26AA 3293	7h 11m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	BDL 07:35 → MSP 09:29DL 1330	3h 16m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → MCO 17:04DL 2225	9h 29m	100%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON