tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 769 Southwest BHM 06:14 BNA 07:15 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 580 Southwest BHM 16:59 BNA 18:07 9% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BHM 05:15 → ATL 07:20DL 2162 2h 37m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 4h 54m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → BHM 06:15 → ATL 08:24DL 1618 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 15m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → BHM 06:25 → DTW 09:27DL 3006 2h 58m Detroit DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557 6h 38m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BHM 09:30 → ATL 11:34DL 3100 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 4h 33m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BHM 10:42 → ATL 12:46DL 3164 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 4h 44m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → BHM 08:13 → CLT 10:44AA 5253 · flown by PSA 2h 31m Charlotte CLT 13:15 → BNA 13:44AA 538 5h 31m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → BHM 16:00 → ATL 18:14DL 3163 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002 4h 38m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → BHM 10:16 → DTW 13:20DL 3685 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Detroit DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316 6h 24m 99% 89%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BHM 17:08 → IAH 19:05UA 4013 · flown by Mesa 47m Houston IAH 19:52 → BNA 21:52UA 750 4h 44m 62% 53%
AmericanDetails → BHM 15:48 → MIA 19:03AA 3909 · flown by Envoy 1h 00m Miami MIA 20:03 → BNA 21:26AA 2833 5h 38m 67% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON