Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 393 at 17:10, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 393 Southwest	BNA 17:10	ALB 20:25	9%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	BNA 14:14 → BWI 17:08WN 462	2h 28m Baltimore	BWI 19:36 → ALB 20:59WN 1533	5h 45m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 12m	99%	92%
American Details →	BNA 09:00 → ORD 10:59AA 2500	3h 51m Chicago	ORD 14:50 → ALB 18:00AA 4240 · flown by Envoy	8h 00m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 15:12 → ALB 17:42DL 1241	6h 54m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682	1h 47m Detroit	DTW 14:33 → ALB 16:15DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	5h 09m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	6h 28m	99%	88%
United Details →	BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465	2h 30m Chicago	ORD 12:11 → ALB 15:12UA 2792	6h 32m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439	1h 56m Detroit	DTW 10:42 → ALB 12:24DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	5h 19m	98%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON