tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3417 Southwest BNA 10:19 CHS 12:52 8% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3531 Southwest BNA 17:18 CHS 19:50 13% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:30 → IAD 11:17UA 1709 1h 57m Dulles IAD 13:14 → CHS 15:09UA 1952 5h 39m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107 4h 42m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381 5h 05m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 09:00 → CHS 10:13DL 3091 4h 03m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179 5h 10m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:31 → JFK 10:58DL 4916 · flown by Endeavor 2h 26m New York JFK 13:24 → CHS 15:28DL 5200 · flown by Endeavor 6h 57m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174 5h 22m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → BNA 14:03 → DTW 16:46DL 1557 3h 16m Detroit DTW 20:02 → CHS 22:09DL 5433 · flown by Endeavor 7h 06m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON