tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2441 Southwest BNA 10:29 CVG 12:40 7% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3984 Southwest BNA 18:39 CVG 20:51 15% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 5h 15m 99% 93%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 14:14 → BWI 17:08WN 462 2h 59m Baltimore BWI 20:07 → CVG 21:38WN 925 6h 24m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149 5h 10m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → BNA 10:45 → ORD 12:35AA 6273 · flown by SkyWest 3h 53m Chicago ORD 16:28 → CVG 18:52AA 4507 · flown by Republic 7h 07m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439 3h 34m Detroit DTW 12:20 → CVG 13:38DL 5257 · flown by Endeavor 6h 33m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:00 → MSP 18:14DL 2843 2h 06m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → CVG 23:11DL 1469 6h 11m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → CVG 15:11DL 3169 4h 23m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:05 → AUS 09:31DL 4146 · flown by SkyWest 1h 36m Austin AUS 11:07 → CVG 14:51DL 5005 · flown by Endeavor 6h 46m 96% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON