tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4386 Southwest BNA 10:14 IND 12:23 5% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 435 Southwest BNA 18:52 IND 21:01 12% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465 3h 06m Chicago ORD 12:47 → IND 15:03UA 3702 · flown by Republic 6h 23m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:02 → LGA 12:29DL 5638 · flown by Republic 2h 14m New York LGA 14:43 → IND 17:13DL 5646 · flown by Republic 7h 11m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 6h 26m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 1h 31m Atlanta ATL 10:01 → IND 11:39DL 8842 4h 21m 99% 94%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 14:14 → BWI 17:08WN 462 3h 23m Baltimore BWI 20:31 → IND 22:20WN 4428 7h 06m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134 4h 31m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 16:01 → IND 17:42DL 2979 5h 48m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:30 → IAD 11:17UA 1709 1h 26m Dulles IAD 12:43 → IND 14:44UA 3543 · flown by Republic 5h 14m 98% 91%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON