tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3997 Southwest BNA 08:06 LIT 09:23 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 2226 Southwest BNA 20:45 LIT 22:02 11% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Little Rock on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 2h 01m Atlanta ATL 10:31 → LIT 11:03DL 3040 4h 45m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 49m Atlanta ATL 08:10 → LIT 08:42DL 3033 3h 32m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → LIT 15:12DL 3027 5h 24m 99% 91%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 07:57 → DEN 09:46WN 496 1h 33m Denver DEN 11:19 → LIT 14:20WN 3866 6h 23m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → BNA 07:04 → DFW 09:18AA 2583 2h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:35 → LIT 12:59AA 3898 · flown by Envoy 5h 55m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → LIT 23:14DL 2083 6h 43m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → BNA 12:38 → ATL 14:50DL 2867 3h 12m Atlanta ATL 18:02 → LIT 18:42DL 2061 6h 04m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → BNA 10:06 → DFW 12:08AA 1103 3h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:52 → LIT 17:20AA 4309 · flown by Envoy 7h 14m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON