tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1086 Southwest BNA 08:15 MKE 09:52 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3233 Southwest BNA 19:28 MKE 21:08 9% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 6h 43m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 6h 18m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:00 → MSP 08:10DL 2221 1h 55m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 5h 17m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:03 → MSP 12:14DL 2724 1h 40m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 5h 06m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206 6h 43m 100% 91%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 07:57 → DEN 09:46WN 496 1h 15m Denver DEN 11:01 → MKE 14:14WN 4730 6h 17m 100% 90%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 14:14 → BWI 17:08WN 462 2h 48m Baltimore BWI 19:56 → MKE 20:55WN 516 6h 41m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 14:51 → ATL 17:04DL 3159 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 19:56 → MKE 21:05DL 2388 6h 14m 97% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON