tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 846 Southwest BNA 13:31 MYR 16:06 6% 2% 0.4% no record
WN 603 Southwest Flight history → BNA 18:00 MYR 20:35 12% 3% 0.4% 62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 5h 42m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047 4h 37m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 6h 24m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 11:56 → MDW 13:37WN 573 1h 07m Chicago MDW 14:44 → MYR 17:48WN 1460 4h 52m 94% 86%
DeltaDetails → BNA 12:38 → ATL 14:50DL 2867 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 5h 29m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → BNA 11:55 → CLT 14:22AA 3328 3h 32m Charlotte CLT 17:54 → MYR 19:01AA 1417 6h 06m 100% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON