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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 674 Southwest BNA 08:17 OKC 10:11 4% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1483 Southwest BNA 20:42 OKC 22:38 9% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 11:04 → OKC 12:11DL 2020 7h 01m 100% 91%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 07:57 → DEN 09:46WN 496 1h 16m Denver DEN 11:02 → OKC 13:40WN 167 5h 43m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 7h 21m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 06:23 → PHX 08:10WN 635 2h 24m Phoenix PHX 10:34 → OKC 14:42WN 3232 8h 19m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → BNA 15:36 → MDW 17:08WN 575 3h 08m Chicago MDW 20:16 → OKC 22:22WN 4866 6h 46m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:14 → DEN 10:20UA 1716 3h 12m Denver DEN 13:32 → OKC 16:18UA 1656 8h 04m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 6h 34m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → BNA 14:51 → ATL 17:04DL 3159 2h 01m Atlanta ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784 5h 24m 96% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON