Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1479 Southwest	BNA 12:23	RSW 15:26	11%	3%	1.0%	no record
WN 1017 Southwest	BNA 16:54	RSW 19:57	18%	5%	1.2%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 01m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	6h 03m	99%	86%
United Details →	BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465	1h 24m Chicago	ORD 11:05 → RSW 15:07UA 2137	6h 27m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	6h 52m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:00 → MSP 08:10DL 2221	55m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400	6h 27m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682	1h 42m Detroit	DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225	6h 16m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	5h 56m	99%	81%
American Details →	BNA 08:23 → CLT 10:52AA 966	1h 07m Charlotte	CLT 11:59 → RSW 14:08AA 2018	4h 45m	95%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON