tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3929 Southwest BNA 10:11 SAV 12:40 6% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3573 Southwest BNA 17:04 SAV 19:37 10% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 54m Atlanta ATL 08:15 → SAV 09:16DL 3011 3h 06m 97% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014 5h 26m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 06m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155 3h 46m Atlanta ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112 6h 08m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 6h 22m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465 1h 31m Chicago ORD 11:12 → SAV 14:38UA 1612 5h 58m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 53m Atlanta ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054 3h 09m 94% 87%
DeltaDetails → BNA 14:51 → ATL 17:04DL 3159 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 5h 26m 98% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON