Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1155 Southwest	BNA 08:04	TUL 09:44	2%	1%	0.4%	no record
WN 4017 Southwest	BNA 21:00	TUL 22:39	7%	2%	0.4%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	BNA 07:57 → DEN 09:46WN 496	1h 11m Denver	DEN 10:57 → TUL 13:35WN 194	5h 38m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → TUL 11:56DL 2620	6h 46m	100%	92%
United Details →	BNA 08:14 → DEN 10:20UA 1716	3h 20m Denver	DEN 13:40 → TUL 16:29UA 5311 · flown by SkyWest	8h 15m	99%	90%
Southwest Details →	BNA 12:43 → DAL 14:35WN 485	2h 14m Dallas	DAL 16:49 → TUL 18:04WN 9002	5h 21m	100%	90%
American Details →	BNA 05:10 → ORD 07:04AA 4964 · flown by SkyWest	1h 25m Chicago	ORD 08:29 → TUL 10:37AA 4155 · flown by Envoy	5h 27m	96%	89%
American Details →	BNA 08:23 → CLT 10:51AA 966	1h 43m Charlotte	CLT 12:34 → TUL 14:16AA 2657	5h 53m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 22:18 → TUL 23:19DL 2043	6h 48m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155	3h 57m Atlanta	ATL 17:01 → TUL 18:04DL 2837	7h 10m	99%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON