tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 762 Southwest BNA 08:22 VPS 09:46 4% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 1329 Southwest BNA 19:37 VPS 21:01 8% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Valparaiso on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 10:15 → VPS 10:29DL 2048 4h 11m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 59m Atlanta ATL 08:20 → VPS 08:31DL 3051 3h 21m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 12:38 → ATL 14:50DL 2867 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 18:28 → VPS 18:42DL 2803 6h 04m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 1h 50m Atlanta ATL 13:50 → VPS 14:00DL 2832 4h 12m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → VPS 16:01DL 2170 5h 07m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → BNA 11:55 → CLT 14:21AA 3328 2h 53m Charlotte CLT 17:14 → VPS 17:54AA 2197 5h 59m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → BNA 06:01 → DFW 08:20AA 2787 1h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:30 → VPS 11:28AA 2460 5h 27m 96% 80%
AmericanDetails → BNA 12:47 → DFW 14:56AA 1396 1h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:37 → VPS 18:38AA 2673 5h 51m 97% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON