tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2808 Delta Flight history → BOI 05:30 MSP 09:10 5% 2% 0.6% 91%
DL 2982 Delta Flight history → BOI 14:50 MSP 18:37 9% 3% 0.6% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Boise). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOI 06:00 → SLC 07:11DL 2173 3h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 7h 40m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → BOI 05:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5924 · flown by SkyWest 2h 35m Denver DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397 6h 40m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BOI 11:00 → SLC 12:25DL 1744 1h 35m Salt Lake City SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 5h 32m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → BOI 07:00 → LAX 08:20DL 3725 · flown by SkyWest 2h 55m Los Angeles LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413 8h 50m 99% 87%
AlaskaDetails → BOI 08:53 → PDX 09:28AS 3495 · flown by SkyWest 1h 37m Portland PDX 11:05 → MSP 16:20AS 714 6h 27m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → BOI 13:02 → SLC 14:27DL 2095 2h 54m Salt Lake City SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935 6h 52m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → BOI 08:25 → ORD 13:10UA 5386 · flown by SkyWest 3h 06m Chicago ORD 16:16 → MSP 18:09UA 1935 8h 44m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → BOI 06:21 → DFW 10:34AA 1107 1h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:00 → MSP 14:37AA 1668 7h 16m 98% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON