Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via JFK, leaving 09:05, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Austin on time.

Nonstops that day


B6 1439 JetBlue Flight history →	BOS 10:07	AUS 13:24	13%	3%	0.6%	88%
WN 1270 Southwest	BOS 14:34	AUS 17:40	18%	5%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	1h 22m Atlanta	ATL 09:43 → AUS 11:03DL 2886	6h 33m	100%	93%
United Details →	BOS 05:45 → IAD 07:23UA 1734	1h 07m Dulles	IAD 08:30 → AUS 10:56UA 637	6h 11m	99%	93%
United Details →	BOS 07:19 → ORD 09:17UA 2631	2h 30m Chicago	ORD 11:47 → AUS 14:41UA 1061	8h 22m	100%	92%
Southwest Details →	BOS 08:27 → BNA 10:03WN 725	2h 24m Nashville	BNA 12:27 → AUS 14:38WN 4728	7h 11m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:33 → AUS 13:54DL 2104	8h 09m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:55 → MSP 08:04DL 2303	2h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 10:10 → AUS 12:50DL 2062	7h 55m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019	1h 26m Detroit	DTW 09:04 → AUS 10:59DL 1218	6h 29m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 14:15 → AUS 15:50DL 1397	8h 50m	99%	91%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON