Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2785 Delta Flight history →	BOS 12:06	CHS 14:40	8%	3%	0.6%	80%
B6 567 JetBlue	BOS 09:04	CHS 11:38	12%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	BOS 09:25 → IAD 11:07UA 2098	2h 07m Dulles	IAD 13:14 → CHS 15:09UA 1952	5h 44m	99%	93%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	6h 30m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	7h 53m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	6h 57m	99%	91%
United Details →	BOS 07:19 → ORD 09:17UA 2631	1h 36m Chicago	ORD 10:53 → CHS 14:12UA 2631	6h 53m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	BOS 13:55 → ATL 16:49DL 322	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493	6h 54m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BOS 12:30 → ATL 15:21DL 2779	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 17:44 → CHS 18:59DL 3179	6h 29m	100%	89%
United Details →	BOS 08:00 → EWR 09:23UA 570	2h 47m Newark	EWR 12:10 → CHS 14:16UA 1760	6h 16m	99%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON