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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Detroit, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Kansas City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 675 Delta Flight history → BOS 06:10 MCI 08:41 6% 2% 0.5% 88%
DL 314 Delta Flight history → BOS 16:10 MCI 18:48 15% 3% 0.5% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BOS 08:27 → BNA 10:03WN 725 2h 26m Nashville BNA 12:29 → MCI 14:12WN 558 6h 45m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 10:00 → MCI 11:11DL 2908 6h 41m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:55 → MSP 08:04DL 2303 2h 00m Minneapolis MSP 10:04 → MCI 11:37DL 1349 6h 42m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019 1h 02m Detroit DTW 08:40 → MCI 09:44DL 2826 5h 14m 97% 90%
UnitedDetails → BOS 09:30 → EWR 10:58UA 1307 3h 49m Newark EWR 14:47 → MCI 17:02UA 3436 · flown by Republic 8h 32m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → BOS 07:19 → ORD 09:17UA 2631 3h 23m Chicago ORD 12:40 → MCI 14:20UA 561 8h 01m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695 3h 50m Atlanta ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443 8h 44m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 06:05 → SLC 09:17DL 859 1h 17m Salt Lake City SLC 10:34 → MCI 13:57DL 2882 8h 52m 98% 90%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON