tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1398 Delta Flight history → BOS 11:20 MSY 13:56 7% 2% 0.6% 85%
B6 401 JetBlue Flight history → BOS 11:15 MSY 13:48 12% 4% 0.6% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:37DL 2542 7h 07m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → MSY 14:17DL 3157 7h 17m 99% 92%
SouthwestDetails → BOS 08:27 → BNA 10:03WN 725 2h 25m Nashville BNA 12:28 → MSY 14:01WN 595 6h 34m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → BOS 07:09 → DCA 09:14AA 4342 · flown by Republic 2h 21m Washington DCA 11:35 → MSY 13:26AA 2586 7h 17m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BOS 09:05 → ATL 11:55DL 456 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146 7h 52m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BOS 07:10 → MSP 09:22DL 1138 3h 23m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695 9h 15m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → BOS 08:00 → EWR 09:23UA 570 3h 10m Newark EWR 12:33 → MSY 14:44UA 2468 7h 44m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019 1h 02m Detroit DTW 08:40 → MSY 10:14DL 2790 5h 44m 97% 90%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON