tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Dulles, leaving 05:45, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Fort Myers on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 165 JetBlue Flight history → BOS 06:45 RSW 10:12 16% 3% 1.6% 76%
B6 2065 JetBlue Flight history → BOS 16:22 RSW 19:53 25% 9% 2.3% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 41m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → BOS 07:19 → ORD 09:17UA 2631 1h 48m Chicago ORD 11:05 → RSW 15:07UA 2137 7h 48m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → BOS 08:27 → BNA 10:03WN 725 2h 20m Nashville BNA 12:23 → RSW 15:26WN 1479 6h 59m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → BOS 05:45 → IAD 07:23UA 1734 52m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 5h 08m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → BOS 06:00 → ORD 07:58UA 1414 1h 24m Chicago ORD 09:22 → RSW 13:18UA 1036 7h 18m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 7h 50m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → BOS 08:00 → EWR 09:23UA 570 2h 41m Newark EWR 12:04 → RSW 15:19UA 1810 7h 19m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:55 → MSP 08:04DL 2303 1h 01m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 7h 32m 97% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON