Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 882 American Flight history →	BUF 07:01	DFW 09:25	6%	4%	0.6%	87%
AA 1724 American Flight history →	BUF 16:35	DFW 18:45	12%	5%	0.7%	60%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Buffalo). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUF 06:00 → ATL 08:10DL 2664	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 12m	99%	92%
American Details →	BUF 05:20 → PHL 06:46AA 5873 · flown by Piedmont	1h 44m Philadelphia	PHL 08:30 → DFW 11:12AA 3307	6h 52m	98%	92%
American Details →	BUF 06:01 → CLT 08:01AA 1204	3h 01m Charlotte	CLT 11:02 → DFW 12:47AA 2747	7h 46m	98%	89%
United Details →	BUF 06:55 → ORD 07:40UA 543	2h 49m Chicago	ORD 10:29 → DFW 13:12UA 441	7h 17m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	BUF 12:16 → ATL 14:22DL 1384	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 17:43 → DFW 19:03DL 1827	7h 47m	100%	88%
American Details →	BUF 11:54 → DCA 13:30AA 4647 · flown by Republic	3h 41m Washington	DCA 17:11 → DFW 19:41AA 1414	8h 47m	99%	87%
United Details →	BUF 09:00 → DEN 10:35UA 1727	3h 10m Denver	DEN 13:45 → DFW 16:51UA 578	8h 51m	99%	87%
American Details →	BUF 11:11 → LGA 12:47AA 4363 · flown by Republic	1h 13m New York	LGA 14:00 → DFW 17:05AA 1056	6h 54m	97%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON