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Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUF 06:00 → ATL 08:10DL 2664 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 23m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → BUF 06:01 → CLT 08:01AA 1204 2h 54m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:09AA 2585 7h 08m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → BUF 05:20 → PHL 06:46AA 5873 · flown by Piedmont 2h 25m Philadelphia PHL 09:11 → FLL 12:18AA 1333 6h 58m 98% 86%
SouthwestDetails → BUF 06:00 → BWI 07:15WN 756 1h 23m Baltimore BWI 08:38 → FLL 11:17WN 942 5h 17m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → BUF 07:01 → DFW 09:25AA 882 3h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:46 → FLL 16:54AA 1373 9h 53m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → BUF 17:12 → ATL 19:23DL 2266 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 7h 27m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → BUF 12:16 → ATL 14:22DL 1384 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670 7h 27m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → BUF 06:55 → ORD 07:40UA 543 3h 19m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 18m 98% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON