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Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:35, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Albuquerque on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 1h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 5h 37m 98% 90%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 07:57 → LAS 09:05WN 786 3h 37m Las Vegas LAS 12:42 → ABQ 15:13WN 803 6h 16m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:50DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 55m Salt Lake City SLC 20:45 → ABQ 22:30DL 3729 · flown by SkyWest 4h 36m 92% 85%
UnitedDetails → BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453 3h 28m San Francisco SFO 18:41 → ABQ 22:17UA 5289 · flown by SkyWest 7h 32m 98% 84%
SouthwestDetails → BUR 15:16 → LAS 16:25WN 792 3h 34m Las Vegas LAS 19:59 → ABQ 22:30WN 4108 6h 14m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488 3h 35m San Francisco SFO 12:05 → ABQ 15:40UA 1597 7h 38m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 3h 04m Denver DEN 19:20 → ABQ 20:44UA 484 6h 56m 98% 75%
AmericanDetails → BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599 2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:29 → ABQ 15:27AA 3053 7h 26m 98% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON