Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Atlanta on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 483 Delta Flight history →	BUR 13:55	ATL 21:42	13%	5%	0.8%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582	3h 34m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	9h 22m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	2h 22m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905	8h 23m	99%	88%
American Details →	BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599	1h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:27 → ATL 16:48AA 2398	6h 47m	94%	79%
United Details →	BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488	2h 19m San Francisco	SFO 10:49 → ATL 18:38UA 702	8h 36m	97%	79%
United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	1h 32m Denver	DEN 17:48 → ATL 22:57UA 1305	7h 09m	94%	78%
Alaska Details →	BUR 11:06 → SEA 13:46AS 1388	2h 19m Seattle	SEA 16:05 → ATL 23:59AS 727	9h 53m	95%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON