Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 1416 at 07:14, with a 3% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1416 Southwest	BUR 07:14	AUS 12:10	3%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582	3h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:18 → AUS 17:07DL 2689	8h 07m	99%	87%
United Details →	BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453	3h 19m San Francisco	SFO 18:32 → AUS 00:04 +1UA 2332	8h 19m	98%	87%
Southwest Details →	BUR 07:57 → LAS 09:05WN 786	2h 08m Las Vegas	LAS 11:13 → AUS 15:48WN 4096	5h 51m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	2h 12m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:45 → AUS 21:30DL 2728	6h 55m	99%	85%
United Details →	BUR 10:53 → SFO 12:21UA 2386	3h 51m San Francisco	SFO 16:12 → AUS 21:50UA 2150	8h 57m	99%	85%
Alaska Details →	BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562	1h 03m Portland	PDX 10:30 → AUS 16:38AS 540	7h 29m	96%	81%
United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	2h 23m Denver	DEN 18:39 → AUS 21:57UA 1942	7h 09m	96%	81%
American Details →	BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599	2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:29 → AUS 15:39AA 2103	6h 38m	98%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON