Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2130 at 08:07, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2130 Southwest	BUR 08:07	BNA 13:58	7%	2%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	BUR 07:57 → LAS 09:05WN 786	1h 21m Las Vegas	LAS 10:26 → BNA 15:51WN 1915	5h 54m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	3h 12m Salt Lake City	SLC 18:45 → BNA 23:05DL 2317	8h 30m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BUR 13:55 → ATL 21:42DL 483	1h 18m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	7h 20m	91%	83%
United Details →	BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488	3h 09m San Francisco	SFO 11:39 → BNA 18:08UA 499	9h 06m	99%	82%
American Details →	BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599	1h 50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:09 → BNA 16:16AA 1181	7h 15m	98%	81%
American Details →	BUR 12:33 → DFW 17:55AA 1208	3h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:15 → BNA 23:16AA 3230	8h 43m	98%	81%
Alaska Details →	BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562	1h 03m Portland	PDX 10:30 → BNA 17:00AS 1376	7h 51m	96%	80%
United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	1h 14m Denver	DEN 17:30 → BNA 21:13UA 1300	6h 25m	91%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON