Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, OO 3299 at 12:06, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 3299 SkyWest	BUR 12:06	BOI 15:20	8%	5%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562	1h 03m Portland	PDX 10:30 → BOI 12:49AS 2089 · flown by Horizon	4h 40m	97%	92%
Delta Details →	BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582	59m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:00 → BOI 12:16DL 2095	4h 16m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	1h 04m Salt Lake City	SLC 16:37 → BOI 17:51DL 2920	4h 16m	95%	84%
Alaska Details →	BUR 11:06 → SEA 13:46AS 1388	1h 59m Seattle	SEA 15:45 → BOI 18:11AS 2061 · flown by Horizon	6h 05m	93%	83%
United Details →	BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488	1h 54m San Francisco	SFO 10:24 → BOI 13:14UA 605	5h 12m	97%	80%
Alaska Details →	BUR 07:02 → SEA 09:42AS 491	3h 26m Seattle	SEA 13:08 → BOI 15:33AS 467	7h 31m	98%	74%
United Details →	BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453	1h 22m San Francisco	SFO 16:35 → BOI 19:26UA 5720 · flown by SkyWest	4h 41m	86%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON