Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: AA 2599 at 07:01 is the safest bet, 9% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 22%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2599 American Flight history →	BUR 07:01	DFW 12:19	9%	3%	1.6%	92%
AA 1208 American Flight history →	BUR 12:33	DFW 17:55	22%	6%	1.4%	73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582	3h 49m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:50 → DFW 17:33DL 2811	8h 33m	99%	83%
Alaska Details →	BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562	1h 18m Portland	PDX 10:45 → DFW 16:42AS 392	7h 33m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	2h 07m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796	6h 48m	99%	83%
Frontier Details →	BUR 13:00 → LAS 14:21F9 4108	3h 32m Las Vegas	LAS 17:53 → DFW 22:46F9 3978	7h 46m	99%	81%
United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	2h 37m Denver	DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565	7h 11m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	BUR 13:55 → ATL 21:42DL 483	1h 12m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818	8h 18m	87%	76%
United Details →	BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488	1h 55m San Francisco	SFO 10:25 → DFW 16:08UA 2842	7h 06m	96%	74%
Alaska Details →	BUR 07:02 → SEA 09:42AS 491	1h 17m Seattle	SEA 10:59 → DFW 17:00AS 341	7h 58m	94%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON